MATHEMATICAL AND STATISTICAL STUDY OF THE INFLUENCE OF FINE SOLID POLLUTANTS ON HUMAN HEALTH - Науково-технічний журнал «Техногенно-екологічна безпека»

MATHEMATICAL AND STATISTICAL STUDY OF THE INFLUENCE OF FINE SOLID POLLUTANTS ON HUMAN HEALTH

PDF(UKRAINIAN)

Koziy Ivan

Sumy State University, Sumy, Ukraine

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0402-6876

Roi Ihor

Sumy State University, Sumy, Ukraine

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6106-3449

Yakhnenko Olena

Sumy State University, Sumy, Ukraine

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8455-1536

Ponomarenko Roman

National University of Civil Defence of Ukraine, Kharkiv, Ukraine

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6300-3108

Shcherbak Stanislav

National University of Civil Defence of Ukraine, Kharkiv, Ukraine

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4723-0570

DOI: 10.52363/2522-1892.2021.2.4

Keywords: fine dust, human health, modeling, regression analysis, correlation

Abstract

The article discusses the issues of studying the effect of fine dust on human health using mathematical and statistical modeling. The initial data were statistical data on the volume of emissions of suspended particulate matter into the atmosphere and registered cases of diseases of the circulatory system among the population of Ukraine in 2012–2019. To assess the relationship between several factor signs was used method of correlation-regression analysis. The high connection between the actual statistical data and the data of the model calculation indicates the presence a very strong dependence the incidence of the circulatory system of the population on the emissions of fine dust. The obtained results of the study testify to the confirmation of the risk to the health and life of the population. The coefficients of determination make it possible to assert that the emissions of fine dust are one of the main reasons for the development of diseases of the circulatory system in humans. Among the types of dust that enters the atmospheric air from anthropogenic sources of emissions, the most dangerous type of dust for humans is dust containing solid particles ranging in size from 2.5 to 10 microns.

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